Arctic air has engulfed much of the UK of late. Latest forecasts see it lingering through the weekend, bringing with it the strong possibility of record-breaking low-level snow as far south as Wales/Central England on Fri, Oct 25.
Overnight lows tumbled well-below freezing across MANY regions during the first half of the week.
According to warm-mongers the MetOffice, a low of -5.5C (22F) was observed at the Tulloch Bridge weather station, Scotland in the early hours of Tuesday, October 22 — which came within just a few degrees of the UK’s all-time coldest temperature for the date set back in 1880 (solar minimum of cycle 11).
Additional pulses of Polar air will plunge temperatures even lower over the coming days.
Turning to the GFS, bone-chilling lows are forecast to engulf ALL of the UK this Thursday evening, lasting through the remainder of the month (at least):
GFS TEMP ANOMALY (C) — UK, LATE OCT
The sinking temps will challenge the UK’s upcoming all-time daily record lows, with the 25th’s -8.9C (16C) from 1885 under particular threat; along with the 26th’s -9.4C (15F) from 1931; and the 29th’s -9.4C (15F) set back in 1911.
In addition, the UK’s all-time MONTHLY record minimum low could come under threat — the -11.7C (11F) set at Dalwhinnie (Scotland) in 1948.
Furthermore, the models are also suggesting record-breaking early-season snow (up to 20cm) could fall as far south as southern Ireland, as well as parts of England & Wales, and the usual suspect Scotland:
GFS TOTAL SNOWFALL (CM)
And looking further ahead, the majority of Europe will also be infected by Arctic air before the month is out.
Temperature departures across the continent will tumble some 20C below average by Halloween:
GFS TEMP ANOMALY (C) — EUROPE, OCT 31
And things appear truly brutal as November arrives:
GFS TEMP ANOMALY (C) — EUROPE, NOV 06
With staggering snow totals to match:
GFS TOTAL SNOWFALL (INCHES) — EUROPE, OCT 23 thru NOV 07
The cold times are returning in line with historically low solar activity.
NASA has recently revealed this next solar cycle (25) will be “the weakest of the past 200 years,” with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.
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Grand Solar Minimum + Pole Shift
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